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13-Week Cash Flow Stress Test

Test how a delayed payment, a revenue fall and a known tax outflow affect your short-term cash position before the pressure becomes urgent.

H
Editor — Sole traders & freelancers
Published: 2026-08-11
Tax tax figures checked: 2026-08-11
Short answer

A 13-week forecast is a short-term planning discipline, not a funding recommendation. Start with realistic collections and payments, then run a downside case. This simplified model holds weekly outflows constant so that you can see the directional effect of the key stress inputs.

Lowest forecast cash
£23,000
Stress signal
No negative week in this model
WeekCash receiptsCash outflowsTax in outflowsClosing cash
1£4,000£4,500£0£24,500
2£5,000£4,500£0£25,000
3£5,000£4,500£0£25,500
4£5,000£4,500£0£26,000
5£5,000£4,500£0£26,500
6£5,000£4,500£0£27,000
7£5,000£4,500£0£27,500
8£5,000£9,500£5,000£23,000
9£5,000£4,500£0£23,500
10£5,000£4,500£0£24,000
11£5,000£4,500£0£24,500
12£5,000£4,500£0£25,000
13£5,000£4,500£0£25,500

Collections action playbook

Time after due datePractical actionRecord to keep
Before due dateConfirm purchase order, invoice contact, payment method and any dispute.Contract, invoice, delivery/acceptance evidence.
1–7 daysSend a factual reminder and ask whether an invoice or approval issue exists.Reminder, response and revised payment promise.
8–30 daysEscalate to the decision-maker and consider pausing further credit subject to the contract and relationship.Statement of account and agreed action date.
Persistent non-paymentReview contract remedies, statutory interest eligibility and professional debt-recovery options.Full correspondence and calculation evidence.
Do not use a forecast to justify unaffordable borrowing

If a negative week appears, prioritise accurate collections, cost commitments, tax arrangements and professional advice. Any credit-card or funding option must be assessed for affordability, repayment capacity and its full cost.

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Not financial advice

Information on this page is general guidance for UK small businesses and is not financial, tax or legal advice. Tax rules, allowances and product terms change. Always check current information with HMRC, Companies House or a qualified professional before making decisions.